Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Bond Vecina Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$240 $800 Clearance 0.0%—632% premium<1%
Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$24.93 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017
red · 750 ml
$40.03 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018
red · 750 ml
$24.93 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018
red · 750 ml
$24.73 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$23.13 $77.49 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$43.53 $83.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$145 $270 Clearance 0.0%—195% premium<1%
Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$150 $300 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$144 $231 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $81.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino Nastagio 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$35.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cru Winery Sierra Madre Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2019
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
David Arthur Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$210 $350 Clearance 0.0%—183% premium<1%
Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Reserve 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$83.99 $140 Clearance 0.0%—161% premium<1%
Harlan Estate Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$480 $1,600 Clearance 0.0%—1080% premium<1%
Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$33.53 $112 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$33.53 $112 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$42.03 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$65.03 $130 Clearance 0.0%—18% premium<1%
Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2019
red · 750 ml
$31.23 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marimar Estate Syrah Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marques De Riscal Baron De Chirel Tempranillo Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$23.73 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—319% premium<1%
Neyers Sage Canyon Red 2021
red · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Machete 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Palmaris Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon South Australia 2019
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Columbia Gorge 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.73 $82.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$23.43 $82.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.73 $82.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$24.73 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rocky Pond Winery Stratastone Rhone Blend 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Samsara Pinot Noir Sta Rita Hills 2018
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$12.73 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017
red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml
$325 $650 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml
$149 $500 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District 2017
red · 750 ml
$12.73 $42.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
1,801–1,850 of 2,413← PreviousNext →