Cellar Index
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Bond Vecina Napa Valley 2017

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2017 vintage · tracked since Q2 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$240 $800 Clearance
18 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +9% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -21%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$800 ($800–$800)<1%
Q2 2027$800 ($800–$800)<1%
Q1 2027$800 ($800–$800)<1%
Q4 2026$800 ($800–$800)<1%
Q3 2026$800$240
Q2 2026$800$240
Q1 2026$800$240
Q4 2025$800$240
Q3 2025$800$400
Q2 2025$800$600
Q1 2025$800
Q4 2024$800
Q3 2024$800
Q2 2024$800
Q1 2024$800
Q4 2023$800
Q3 2023$800
Q2 2023$800
Q1 2023$800
Q4 2022$800
Q3 2022$800
Q2 2022$800

Chance the list price will differ from today's $800

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$109
Comparable wines cost $55.46–$322 (80% range). At $800 it carries a 632% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2023–2037
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).