Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin Estournelles Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco delle Viole 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Zena Crown Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Taittinger La Francaise Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $60.03 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.93 $95.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $133 $243 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Artemis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $79.99 Sale | ▼ 5.9% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Krug Champagne Grande Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $200 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Crown Point Relevant Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $77.99 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Cabernet Sauvignon DeCarle Rutherford Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $240 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Peters Champagne Cuvee de Reserve Blanc de Blancs Brut Grand Cru Non Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $192 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 244 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.19 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 58.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
151–200 of 1,027← PreviousNext →