Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change

2.8%

of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move

How well the model spots upcoming price rises

0.891 next quarter

0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.

Model

hgbq-20260928-160312

Trained on data through 2026-07-01

All styles Red White Rosé Sparkling Dessert

All prices Under $25 $25–75 $75+

Wine	Shelf price	1yr History	5yr History	vs fair price	Chance of a rise within a year
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$1,440 $1,920 Clearance	0.0%	—	158% premium	<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$115	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$38.93 $130 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$35.93 $120 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$140	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$133 $243 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$70.03 $140 Clearance	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$125	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$41.93 $140 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$140	▲ 37.3%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$180	▲ 12.5%	—	Fairly priced	5% typically +36% if it rises
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$150	—	—	Fairly priced	4%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$480	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130 $240 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$95.93 $320 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$80.93 $270 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$400	▲ 14.3%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$280	—	—	Fairly priced	4%
Chateau Cos d'Estournel Saint Estephe 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$138 $230 Clearance	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$550	0.0%	—	80% premium	<1%
Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$81.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$145 $270 Clearance	0.0%	—	284% premium	<1%
Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$150 $251 Clearance	0.0%	—	268% premium	<1%
Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$105 $350 Clearance	0.0%	—	406% premium	<1%
Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$408	▲ 7.4%	—	433% premium	2%
Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$300	—	—	294% premium	4%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$55.03 $110 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$125	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$130	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$84.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$59.93 $99.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$110	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$105	—	—	Fairly priced	6% typically +35% if it rises
Chateau Ferriere Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$79.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$174 $324 Clearance	0.0%	—	82% premium	<1%
Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$162 $270 Clearance	0.0%	—	58% premium	<1%
Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$105 $350 Clearance	0.0%	—	103% premium	<1%
Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$38.73 $130 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$55.03 $110 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$35.93 $120 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$32.93 $110 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$140	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$153	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$99.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$26.93 $89.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$25.43 $84.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$110	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%

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