Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir La Brisa Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boscarelli Sotto Casa Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Brittan Vineyards Pinot Noir Estate McMinnville 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Givry Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Hautes Brusquieres Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Mount Veeder Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Three Hills Cuvee Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Lorenzo Lo Bendito Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Gigondas Vieilles Vignes 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Reinosa Reserva Garnacha 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert Red Blend California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete Red Blend California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecili Nero d'Avola Noto 2016 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto Red Alentejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Zena Crown Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Colome Autentico Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branas Grand Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvigon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.73 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Beaucastel Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $95.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Private Collection Red Durbanville 2022 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco Bordini 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Ten Degrees Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Beaune Theurons 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opus One Red Blend Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $258 $430 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 81% premium | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.33 $64.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spottswoode Lyndenhurst Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,051–1,100 of 2,413← PreviousNext →