Cellar Index
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Marques de Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2015

red · Rioja · 750 ml · 2015 vintage · tracked since Q3 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$45.99
17 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 1
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +5% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$45.99 ($45.99–$45.99)<1%
Q2 2027$45.99 ($45.99–$45.99)<1%
Q1 2027$45.99 ($45.99–$45.99)<1%
Q4 2026$45.99 ($45.99–$45.99)<1%
Q3 2026$45.99
Q2 2026$45.99
Q1 2026$45.99
Q4 2025$45.99
Q3 2025$45.99
Q2 2025$45.99
Q1 2025$45.99
Q4 2024$45.99
Q3 2024$45.99
Q2 2024$45.99
Q1 2024$45.99
Q4 2023$45.99
Q3 2023$45.99
Q2 2023$45.99$40.99
Q1 2023$45.99
Q4 2022$45.99
Q3 2022$45.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $45.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$26.58
Comparable wines cost $16.70–$65.04 (80% range). At $45.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2018–2027
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for premium red wine from Rioja

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2016Listed now$44.99 0.0%<1%
2015 (this page)Listed now$45.99 0.0%<1%

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).