Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham's Six Grapes Porto Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 $70.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $150 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $210 $240 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 116% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Graham's Vintage Port 2020 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Harsanyi Ciroka Dry Furmint Single Vineyard Tokaji Hungary White 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harsanyi Hizelgo Furmint Late Harvest Tokaji 2018 dessert · 500 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Manzanilla Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Oloroso Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Pedro Ximenez Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 5% |
| Harvey's Bristol Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.63 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 52% premium | 1% |
| Harvey's Bristol Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jorge Ordonez Botani Moscatel Old Vines Sierras de Malaga 2019 dessert · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| La Chapelle de Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Fleur Renaissance Sauternes dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lustau Don Nuno Oloroso Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lustau Los Arcos Amontillado Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lustau Papirusa Manzanilla Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lustau Peninsula Palo Cortado Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lustau San Emilio PX Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Maynard's Colheita Port 2012 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% below | <1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Opici Vineyards Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Opici Vineyards Marsala dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oremus Tokaji Mandolas Dry Furmint Tokaj 2020 dessert · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Paul Masson Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 43% below | 2% |
| Penfolds Club Tawny Port Australia dessert · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Pigtown Sweet Red Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pigtown Sweet White Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Presidential Tawny Port 20 Year Old Ships Decanter dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Aszu Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta Do Vallado LBV Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Pacheca Late Bottled Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Real Companhia Velha Porto Malvasia White dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2016 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Royal Oporto Late Bottled Vintage Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 10 Year Old Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 20 Year Old Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.59 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rozes 20 Years Old Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
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