Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | — | — | 294% premium | 4% |
| Bodegas Caro Caro Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 305% premium | 1% |
| Seiler Estate Single Vineyard Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Glass Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 307% premium | <1% |
| Pym Rae Tesseron Estate Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 308% premium | <1% |
| Patrimony Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 313% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $201 $336 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 318% premium | 5% |
| Marques De Riscal Baron De Chirel Tempranillo Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 319% premium | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 324% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 325% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 328% premium | <1% |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | 329% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Le Pupille Saffredi Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $178 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Three Palms Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 336% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $90.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Klipsun Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.74 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 339% premium | 4% |
| Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $219 $365 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 343% premium | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards J Daniel Cuvee Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $210 $310 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 347% premium | <1% |
| Warre's Vinhas Velhas Vintage Porto 350th Anniversay Edition 2020 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $56.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 361% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $380 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 $330 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 369% premium | <1% |
| Le Dix de Los Vascos Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 371% premium | 1% |
| Senorio de San Vicente Tempranillo Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $78.99 | — | — | 371% premium | 1% |
| Duca di Salaparuta Duca Enrico Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 378% premium | <1% |
| Don Julio Rosado rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 380% premium | 1% |
| Tenute Capaldo Goleto Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 383% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | ▲ 34.6% | — | 391% premium | 1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | 394% premium | <1% |
| Carruades de Lafite Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $370 | 0.0% | — | 395% premium | <1% |
| Donnafugata Mille e Una Notte 2020 red · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | 397% premium | <1% |
| Castellare I Sodi di San Niccolo Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 404% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 406% premium | <1% |
| Bond Quella Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $400 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $408 | ▲ 7.4% | — | 433% premium | 2% |
| Duckhorn Discussion Red Wine 2020 red · 750 ml | $130 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Bond St Eden Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $850 | 0.0% | — | 450% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $510 $850 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 452% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Pintia Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $30.93 $106 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 468% premium | <1% |
| Eisele Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2014 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 490% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Angelus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 $520 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 501% premium | <1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Prats and Symington Chryseia Douro 2021 red · Douro · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | 510% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 512% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $129 $430 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 514% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Angelus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $270 $470 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 532% premium | <1% |
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