Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards La Bestia Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Facade White Pinot Noir Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Sentinel Northridge Vineyards Wahluke Slope Red 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Varennes Savennieres 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $140 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flaneur Winery Cuvee Constantin Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Monte Rosso Vineyard Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masut Vineyard and Winery Pinot Noir Estate Vineyard Eagle Peak Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Gemini Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force Majeure Epinette Red Blend Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cordant Winery Maniacal Cuvee Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 72% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Les Crets Pinot Noir Mercurey 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 72% premium | <1% |
| Altanza Gran Reserva Tempranillo Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $30.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Geoffroy Rose de Saignee Brut Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $160 | — | — | 72% premium | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Castello Di Volpaia Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $290 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Talud Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Filippo Le Lucere Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques De Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Fa Les Crais Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | 1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Vallley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $77.93 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $61.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | 1% |
| The Prisoner Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 $49.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Sealionne Metier Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Sette Ponti Oreno Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $36.73 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vilmart and Cie Grand Cellier Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | 25% typically +7% if it rises |
| Zoinos Aurelia Extra Dry Epirus Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.24 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | 3% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 74% premium | 1% |
| Luc Belaire Luxe Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bonanza Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | 74% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Champagne Brut 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $254 $423 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bella Union Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk vom Blauer Zweigelt Eiswein Niederosterreich 2018 red · 375 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herdade Sao Miguel Escolha Enologos Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Il Carnasciale Carnasciale Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Sancerre 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 75% premium | 1% |
| J Lohr Cuvee St E Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde 2018 red · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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