Cellar Index
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Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021

white · 750 ml · 2021 vintage · tracked since Q2 2025

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$61.99 $63.99 Sale
6 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 3
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
1% chance of a rise
typically +6% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -31%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$63.99 ($63.99–$63.99)1%
Q2 2027$63.99 ($63.99–$63.99)1%
Q1 2027$63.99 ($63.99–$63.99)1%
Q4 2026$63.99 ($63.99–$63.99)<1%
Q3 2026$63.99$61.99
Q2 2026$63.99$57.99
Q1 2026$63.99$59.99
Q4 2025$63.99
Q3 2025$63.99
Q2 2025$63.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $63.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
1%
<1%
Q2 2027
1%
<1%
Q3 2027
1%
<1%
Fair price
$37.06
Comparable wines cost $19.18–$53.24 (80% range). At $63.99 it carries a 73% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2021–2024
Past its typical window · rule of thumb, typical for premium white wine from this category
Next vintage (2022) vs this one
58% chance priced higher
Typical change +3.4% (80% range -14.9% to 7.3%) · 26% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on sale.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).