Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $76.43 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Silenus Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.93 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Armillary Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $98.99 $165 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 198% premium | <1% |
| Turk Veltliner 333 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 538% premium | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Meursault Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| WALT Bob's Ranch Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.53 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aldo Conterno Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiano Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres The Beaux Freres Vineyard Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $35.93 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2020 red · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 1500 ml | $94.93 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 325% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini d'Aragona Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Martinet Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crown Point Relevant Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Diamond Creek Volcanic Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $65.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Oakcross Proprietary Red Oakville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.73 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 216% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Feather Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.43 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Corton Charlemagne Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.93 $117 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Montes Alpha M Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello Di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
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