Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Extra Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | 127% premium | 2% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $400 | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | ▲ 10.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | ▲ 36.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos du Marquis Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $177 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | ▲ 37.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | ▲ 9.1% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $190 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 82% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Larcis Ducasse Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | 170% premium | 2% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | — | — | 100% premium | 2% |
| Louis Roederer Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ogier La Serine Cote Rotie 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $408 | ▲ 7.4% | — | 433% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2015 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | 98% premium | 2% |
| Domaine de Cristia Cuvee Renaissance Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $450 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $113 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 1% |
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