Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $87.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $91.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $135 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | ▲ 12.5% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | 51% below | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $275 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | 74% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 110% premium | 4% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $191 | — | — | 59% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 9.4% | — | 104% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | — | — | 294% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $260 | — | — | 175% premium | 4% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | 93% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Valandraud Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | ▲ 37.9% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clos du Marquis Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $77.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau La Pointe Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $2,430 | ▲ 10.5% | — | 249% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 | ▲ 11.1% | — | 596% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 107% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 37% below | 3% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 44% premium | 3% |
1–50 of 2,413Next →