Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 18.8% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Spinelli Montepulciano Cannister red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.99 | ▼ 12.4% | ▼ 8.9% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +6% if it rises |
| Saracina Soul of Mendocino Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Allomi Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Lange Estate Winery and Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 $31.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hess Collection Maverick Ranches Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 $49.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Postmark Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Textbook Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Saldo Zinfandel California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Rosso Italia Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Vice The House Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.49 $38.49 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenshen Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Avennia Gravura Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 93% premium | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with 2 Flute Glasses Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Decoy Limited Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Decoy Limited Red Wine Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Decoy Limited Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bedrock Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | 97% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mano's Cabernet Sauvignon 250th Anniversary Etched Liberty Bell red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Caymus Suisun The Walking Fool Red Suisun Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Party Pouch Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Peju Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cooper and Thief Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Raeburn Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Raeburn Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rudolph's Red Cabernet Sauvignon Stocking red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 90% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cooper and Thief Cellarmasters Red Wine Blend Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | 26% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Black Stallion Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.49 | ▲ 2.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $46.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Masi Costasera Amarone Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.49 $37.99 Clearance | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Castello Banfi Rosso di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.49 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 22.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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