Decoy Limited Red Wine Alexander Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed · tracked since Q2 2024
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$29.99
10 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 3
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
10% chance of a rise
typically +5% · 1% chance of a cut (typically -14%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $29.99 ($29.99–$31.30) | 10% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $29.99 ($29.99–$31.05) | 8% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $29.99 ($29.99–$29.99) | 6% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $29.99 ($29.99–$29.99) | 4% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $29.99 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $29.99 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $29.99 | $26.99 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $29.99 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $29.99 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $29.99 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $29.99 | $26.99 | ||
| Q4 2024 | $29.99 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $29.99 | $26.99 | ||
| Q2 2024 | $29.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $29.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
4%
<1%
Q1 2027
6%
1%
Q2 2027
8%
1%
Q3 2027
10%
1%
Fair price
$20.70
Comparable wines cost $16.81–$25.97 (80% range). At $29.99 it carries a 45% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).