Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed · tracked since Q4 2019
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$40.99
28 quarters on record · 2 list-price changes · on sale in 11
List-price change, past year
▼ 12.4%
Past 5 years: ▼ 8.9%
Outlook for the next 12 months
18% chance of a rise
typically +7% · 1% chance of a cut (typically -8%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $40.99 ($40.99–$43.61) | 18% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $40.99 ($40.99–$43.18) | 15% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $40.99 ($40.99–$40.99) | 10% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $40.99 ($40.99–$40.99) | 7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $40.99 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $40.99 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $40.99 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $40.99 | $38.99 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $46.79 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $46.79 | $41.79 | ||
| Q1 2025 | $46.79 | $41.79 | ||
| Q4 2024 | $46.79 | $41.79 | ||
| Q3 2024 | $46.79 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $46.79 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $46.79 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $46.79 | $41.79 | ||
| Q3 2023 | $46.79 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $46.79 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $44.99 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $44.99 | |||
| Q3 2022 | $44.99 | $39.99 | ||
| Q2 2022 | $44.99 | $38.99 | ||
| Q1 2022 | $44.99 | $37.99 | ||
| Q4 2021 | $44.99 | |||
| Q3 2021 | $44.99 | $39.99 | ||
| Q2 2021 | $44.99 | |||
| Q1 2021 | $44.99 | |||
| Q4 2020 | $44.99 | |||
| Q3 2020 | $44.99 | $39.99 | ||
| Q2 2020 | $44.99 | |||
| Q1 2020 | $44.99 | $39.99 | ||
| Q4 2019 | $44.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $40.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
7%
<1%
Q1 2027
10%
1%
Q2 2027
15%
1%
Q3 2027
18%
1%
Fair price
$37.96
Comparable wines cost $30.66–$54.45 (80% range). At $40.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Other vintages
Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.
| Vintage | Last listed | Shelf price | 1yr History | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Q1 2021 | $34.99 | 0.0% | — |
| No vintage listed (this page) | Listed now | $40.99 | ▼ 12.4% | 18% |
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).