Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018
red · 750 ml
$24.73 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Roederer Blanc de Blanc Champagne 2017
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
San Felice Campogiovanni Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$45.59 $75.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pol Roger Brut Champagne 2018
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Pora 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—11% premium1%
Kosta Browne Cerise Vineyard Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019
red · 750 ml
$90.03 $180 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$65.73 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Marc Morey and Fils En Virondot Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll Vaca Vista Vineyard 2019
red · 750 ml
$89.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$225 $750 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$23.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Riserva 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$29.93 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—12% premium<1%
Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$100 $200 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$79.99——Fairly priced4%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$46.13 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Antinori Antica Estate Townsend Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$30.93 $115 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$56.73 $94.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$80.93 $270 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Champagne Millesime 2008
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$80.93 $270 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Pointe Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$75.99 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$480 $800 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$70.93 $260 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Cras Chambolle Musigny 2018
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$23.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St Helena Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$68.93 $115 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne Gaps Crown Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$44.73 $150 Clearance 0.0%—14% premium<1%
Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.93 $170 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2022
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$305 $310 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$40.03 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—15% premium<1%
Tenuta dell Ornellaia Ornellaia Bolgheri Superiore 2020
red · Tuscany · 375 ml
$108 $180 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaux Freres Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$82.43 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.73 $88.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maison Louis Jadot Meursault 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$79.99 $84.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2013
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$76.43 $102 Clearance 0.0%—16% premium<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$153 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silverado Vineyards SOLO Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds St. Henri Shiraz Australia 2020
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$44.93 $150 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022
white · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 389 Red Blend Australia 2021
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$480 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Taittinger Brut Champagne Millesime 2015
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$110 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
351–400 of 1,027← PreviousNext →