Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramey Woolsey Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.43 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2017 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $56.33 $93.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling GG QbA Mosel 2019 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2007 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| La Petite Frog Cotes de Thau Languedoc Blanc Box 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 229% premium | <1% |
| Rex Hill Chardonnay Seven Soils Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Agathe Bursin Riesling Alsace Dirstelberg 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Chardonnay Mendoza 2019 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vielles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Cheveau Au Buchot Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Curveux Guillaume Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay 2018 white · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Chardonnay Regan Estate Vineyards Reserve Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.93 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Genillotte Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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