Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin La Vialliere Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $700 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Folatieres 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruinart Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| GD Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Cerreta 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sea Smoke Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Ten 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $83.43 $111 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Pora 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Rostaing Rene Rostaing Ampodium Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Altamira Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 243 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Delle Viole 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicolas Red Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Marquis Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dom Perignon Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 | ▲ 1.8% | ▲ 64.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Vintage Porto 2003 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $62.39 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Aluvional Malbec Paraje Altamira 2015 red · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $61.79 $103 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.73 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $92.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Muncagota 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Emerson Brown Ranch Pequeno Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Baudana 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Clos des Folatieres 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Narvaux Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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