Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Stilema Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrimony Estate Caves des Lions Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Philippe Le Hardi Chardonnay Bourgogne Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $76.43 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Silenus Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.93 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Armillary Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $98.99 $165 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 198% premium | <1% |
| Teofilo Reyes Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Veltliner 333 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 538% premium | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Syrah Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Zinfandel Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val di Suga Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Condrieu 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Meursault Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Voliero Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Bob's Ranch Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.53 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aldo Conterno Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiano Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres The Beaux Freres Vineyard Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $35.93 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boscarelli Sotto Casa Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2020 red · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Carpineta Fontalpino Do Ut Des Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,501–2,550 of 3,189← PreviousNext →