Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Hyland Vineyard Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco 2020 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Red Blend Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau et Filles Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.59 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Okfener Bockstein Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Vintage Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Single Vineyard Series Pinot Noir Terra de Promissio Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Ried Kremser Thurnerberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Vina Alicia Las Compuertas Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Red Organic Spain 2021 red · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Bond Quella Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $400 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bond St Eden Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Bond Vecina Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 632% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019 white · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.13 $77.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.53 $83.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 195% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $144 $231 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino Nastagio 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cru Winery Sierra Madre Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Arthur Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $210 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 183% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,301–2,350 of 3,189← PreviousNext →