Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Urbans Hof Cuvee Clara Sekt NV sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | 1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Syncline Winery Subduction Red Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecilia Nero d'Avola Noto 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.59 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Turk Eiswein vom Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2018 white · 375 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Pinot Noir Riva Ranch Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 67% premium | 5% |
| Kimsey Grenache Ballard Canyon 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | 1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein Spatlese Mosel 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Dow's Late Bottled Vintage Ruby Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Weinrieder Ried Kugler Riesling Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| La Perriere Sancerre white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.1% | 67% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Fidelitas Winery Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Open Claim Vineyards Estate Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | 68% premium | 1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2 x 750mL Bottles white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bedrock Evangelho Vineyard Heritage Red Contra Costa County 2022 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Charles Wetmore Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley Estate Grown red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 68% premium | 5% |
| Patz and Hall Bootlegger's Hill Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herdade dos Grous Reserva Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Descendients de Jose Palacios Petalos Del Bierzo Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Rois Mages Les Cailloux Rully Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.03 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Testarossa Pinot Noir Doctor's Vineyard Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 70% premium | <1% |
| Mercouri Estate Kallisto Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards La Bestia Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Facade White Pinot Noir Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Sentinel Northridge Vineyards Wahluke Slope Red 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Varennes Savennieres 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flaneur Winery Cuvee Constantin Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Masut Vineyard and Winery Pinot Noir Estate Vineyard Eagle Peak Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cordant Winery Maniacal Cuvee Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 72% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Les Crets Pinot Noir Mercurey 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 72% premium | <1% |
| Altanza Gran Reserva Tempranillo Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $30.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castello Di Volpaia Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Talud Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques De Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Fa Les Crais Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $61.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | 1% |
| The Prisoner Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 $49.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Sealionne Metier Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.24 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | 3% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 74% premium | 1% |
| Luc Belaire Luxe Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bella Union Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,251–2,300 of 2,525← PreviousNext →