Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $34.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Crown Point Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $89.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Descendients de Jose Palacios Petalos Del Bierzo Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Bertagna Les Murgers Nuit Saint Georges 1er Cru 2017 red · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Caillerets Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Pommard 1er Cru Les Croix Noires 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Gros Nore Bandol Rouge 2019 red · Provence · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Duca di Salaparuta Duca Enrico Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 378% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Three Palms Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 336% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards The Discussion Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.03 $187 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Bordini Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Furioso Vineyards Pinot Noir Trovato Vineyard Yamhill Carlton 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Ten Degrees Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Vineyard Block Three Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Carnasciale Il Caberlot Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 1500 ml | $84.93 $285 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 276% premium | <1% |
| Inglenook Rubicon Rutherford 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Franc Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Zuccardi Malbec Valle de Uco 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Cerise Vineyard Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Gaps Crown Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo 904 Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $69.53 $91.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Clos de la Barre Monopole Volnay 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Penfolds St. Henri Shiraz Australia 2020 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $44.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Etna Rosso Guardoilvento 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Shafer One point Five Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Testarossa Pinot Noir Doctor's Vineyard Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 70% premium | <1% |
| Trerose Santa Caterina Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.43 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,051–2,100 of 2,413← PreviousNext →