Jarvis Cabernet Franc Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2016 vintage · tracked since Q4 2022
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$49.93 $170 Clearance
16 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +7% · 0% chance of a cut (typically -25%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $170 ($170–$170) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $170 ($170–$170) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $170 ($170–$170) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $170 ($170–$170) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $170 | $49.93 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $170 | $49.93 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $170 | $49.93 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $170 | $102 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $170 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $170 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $170 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $170 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $170 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $170 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $170 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $170 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $170 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $170 | |||
| Q1 2023 | $170 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $170 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $170
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$125
Comparable wines cost $67.61–$214 (80% range). At $170 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2022–2036
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).