Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Vieille Ferme Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nicosia Nerello Mascalese Sicilia 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sileni Nano Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Havens Chardonnay Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Head High Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Carrieres de Mezy Sancerre Cuvee de la Reserve 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $20.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Ciuri Nerello Mascalese Sicilia Bianco 2017 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weihnacht's Wein Riesling Spatlese Rheinhessen white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Casa Santos Lima Lisbonita Lisboa 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lamartine Cuvee Particuliere Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Bellevue Rose Touraine 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Giesen Vineyard Selection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Golden Gate Cellars Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lanson Le Black Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Vignerons de la Calade Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Versos De Valtuille Mencia Bierzo 2018 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Loyalty Syrah Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz Crianza Rioja 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Argentino Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Dao 2017 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frost Bitten Ice Riesling Horse Heaven Hills 2021 white · Washington · 375 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Les Girelles Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Rosso di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Toro Mencia Finca La Moura Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paperwhite by J Lohr Unoaked Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Roederer Estate Brut Anderson Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $35.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 33.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Pinot Grigio Rubicone white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Artist Series Serenity Red Blend Central Coast 2018 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Riesling Columbia Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Growers Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cline Family Cellars Viognier North Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo del Commune di la Morra 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forge Cellars Freese Vineyard Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Vieille Ferme Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
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