Cellar Index
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Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020

red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q3 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$137 $225 Clearance
9 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$225 ($225–$225)<1%
Q2 2027$225 ($225–$225)<1%
Q1 2027$225 ($225–$225)<1%
Q4 2026$225 ($225–$225)<1%
Q3 2026$225$137
Q2 2026$225$137
Q1 2026$225$169
Q4 2025$225
Q3 2025$225
Q2 2025$225
Q1 2025$225
Q4 2024$225
Q3 2024$225

Chance the list price will differ from today's $225

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$285
Comparable wines cost $90.21–$618 (80% range). At $225 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2026–2040
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
47% chance priced higher
Typical change +3.6% (80% range -2.9% to 14.5%) · 14% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2020 (this page)Listed now$137 $225 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Listed now$75.93 $250 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2018Listed now$200 0.0%<1%
2016Q1 2022$185 0.0%—
2013Q2 2019$150 0.0%—
2012Q3 2017$140——

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).