Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicosia Nerello Mascalese Sicilia 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Head High Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Lisbonita Lisboa 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lamartine Cuvee Particuliere Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Les Vignerons de la Calade Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Versos De Valtuille Mencia Bierzo 2018 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Loyalty Syrah Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz Crianza Rioja 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Argentino Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Dao 2017 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Les Girelles Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Rosso di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Toro Mencia Finca La Moura Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wente Vineyards Artist Series Serenity Red Blend Central Coast 2018 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cristom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo del Commune di la Morra 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matias Riccitelli The Apple Doesn't Fall Far From the Tree Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colpetrone Memoria Sagrantino di Montefalco 2015 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $71.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin Estournelles Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Bufona Single Vineyard Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard C C Ranch Vineyard 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Merlot Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trambusti Sentimento Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Merlot red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feuerheerd's Douro Red Anchor Wrap 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trisaetum Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Cabernet Franc Finger Lakes 2023 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Coelho Bunny Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vinos de Potrero Malbec Uco Valley World Cup Edition 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Board Track Racer The Vincent Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Le Puy Duc des Nauves Vin de France Rouge 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Alanera Rosso Veronese 2018 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,151–1,200 of 5,705← PreviousNext →