Stags' Leap Merlot Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q1 2024
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$13.93 $43.99 Clearance
11 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +8% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -20%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $43.99 ($43.99–$43.99) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $43.99 ($43.99–$43.99) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $43.99 ($43.99–$43.99) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $43.99 ($43.99–$43.99) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $43.99 | $13.93 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $43.99 | $13.93 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $43.99 | $13.93 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $43.99 | $26.73 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $43.99 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $43.99 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $43.99 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $43.99 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $43.99 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $43.99 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $43.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $43.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$55.26
Comparable wines cost $41.83–$62.28 (80% range). At $43.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2023–2032
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for premium red wine from Napa Valley
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
6% chance priced higher
Typical change +8% (80% range -23.2% to 15.9%) · 69% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).