Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mercouri Estate Kallisto Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Rose Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $135 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 287% premium | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Napa 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml | $1,600 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A Margaine Special Club Blanc de Blancs 1er Cru Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Jet Black Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Sangiovese Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 218% premium | <1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt. Harlan 2021 red · 750 ml | $61.03 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maucaillou Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.53 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Bodyguard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gras Saint Romain Rouge 2015 red · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Chateauneuf du Pape 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Pinot Noir Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois La Porte du Caillou Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Carnasciale Carnasciale Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $112 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Scouts Honor Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley Reserve 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Andersen Vally 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.03 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,440 $1,920 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
1,051–1,100 of 3,189← PreviousNext →