Cellar Index
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Warres Vintage Port 2016

dessert · Douro · 375 ml · 2016 vintage · tracked since Q3 2024

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$54.99
9 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +16% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -21%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$54.99 ($54.99–$54.99)<1%
Q2 2027$54.99 ($54.99–$54.99)<1%
Q1 2027$54.99 ($54.99–$54.99)<1%
Q4 2026$54.99 ($54.99–$54.99)<1%
Q3 2026$54.99
Q2 2026$54.99
Q1 2026$54.99
Q4 2025$54.99
Q3 2025$54.99
Q2 2025$54.99
Q1 2025$54.99
Q4 2024$54.99
Q3 2024$54.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $54.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$67.76
Comparable wines cost $37.08–$147 (80% range). At $54.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2024–2056
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for premium dessert wine from Douro

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).