Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Mount Peak Winery Sentinel Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Blason d'Issan Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$38.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$20.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Red Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced2%
Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$175——Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$186 $300 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Commanderie Du Bardelet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020
dessert · 500 ml
$14.39 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ten to Life Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Force Majeure Parabellum Coulee Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$23.73 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced13%
typically +9% if it rises
Terras do Sado Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Olarra Reciente Rioja Gran Reserva 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020
red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Tour Pibran Pauillac 2015
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$33.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 10 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$36.99▲ 5.7%▲ 23.3%Fairly priced7%
typically +5% if it rises
Tetramythos Roditis Patras 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$115 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Giscours La Sirene de Giscours Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Brut Multi Vintage in Gift Box
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$300 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced8%
typically +8% if it rises
Omen Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Damilano Barolo Lecinquevigne 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$25.79 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fairsing Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$41.99——Fairly priced5%
Calafe Taurasi 2018
red · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$89.99——Fairly priced9%
typically +6% if it rises
Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2023
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dominus Estate Napanook Yountville Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Headturner The Nerve Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$300 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fess Parker Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Inglenook Caberenet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2022
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Acumen Mountainside Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Alain Voge Les Chailles Cornas 2018
red · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Longhand Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$16.99 $17.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $57.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2021
red · 750 ml
$21.93 $75.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zaha Toko Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paraje Altimira Mendoza Argentina Estate 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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