Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Peak Winery Sentinel Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $175 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $186 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Commanderie Du Bardelet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020 dessert · 500 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ten to Life Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Force Majeure Parabellum Coulee Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Terras do Sado Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Olarra Reciente Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour Pibran Pauillac 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | ▲ 5.7% | ▲ 23.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tetramythos Roditis Patras 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Giscours La Sirene de Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Brut Multi Vintage in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Omen Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Lecinquevigne 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fairsing Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Calafe Taurasi 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2023 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominus Estate Napanook Yountville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Headturner The Nerve Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Caberenet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Acumen Mountainside Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Chailles Cornas 2018 red · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Longhand Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.93 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zaha Toko Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paraje Altimira Mendoza Argentina Estate 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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