Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turk Veltliner 333 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 538% premium | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Casa Real Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Reserva Especial 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 546% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 577% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Angelus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 $530 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 582% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 583% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $644 $1,044 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 583% premium | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 | ▲ 11.1% | — | 596% premium | 3% |
| Chateau La Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $530 | 0.0% | — | 609% premium | 1% |
| Bond Vecina Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 632% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 635% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 648% premium | <1% |
| Caggio Ipsus Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $210 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 730% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $141 $470 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 771% premium | <1% |
| Colgin IX Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $800 | 0.0% | — | 811% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Romanee Conti Romanee Saint Vivant Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $2,625 $3,500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 837% premium | <1% |
| Harlan Estate Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $480 $1,600 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1080% premium | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 1608% premium | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $610 $1,010 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1846% premium | <1% |
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