Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$300 $1,000 Clearance
12 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +36% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -25%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $1,000 ($1,000–$1,000) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $1,000 ($1,000–$1,000) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $1,000 ($1,000–$1,000) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $1,000 ($1,000–$1,000) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $1,000 | $300 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $1,000 | $300 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $1,000 | $300 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $1,000 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $1,000 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $1,000 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $1,000 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $1,000 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $1,000 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $1,000 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $1,000 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $1,000
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$148
Comparable wines cost $63.27–$627 (80% range). At $1,000 it carries a 577% premium: often reputation or scarcity the model can't see.
Typical drinking window
2030–2055
Opens in 4 year(s) · rule of thumb, typical for luxury red wine from Bordeaux
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
25% chance priced higher
Typical change -1.6% (80% range -16.7% to 15.3%) · 51% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Other vintages
Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.
| Vintage | Last listed | Shelf price | 1yr History | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (this page) | Listed now | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | <1% |
| 2019 | Listed now | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | <1% |
| 2018 | Listed now | $644 $1,044 Clearance | 0.0% | <1% |
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).