Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $190 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 194% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 194% premium | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Bucephalus Red Wine Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 194% premium | 1% |
| Sigma Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 195% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 197% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 198% premium | <1% |
| Krug Brut Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $480 | — | — | 201% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fleur Cardinale Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 202% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $72.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goretti Sagrantino di Montefalco 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Seventeen Forty Red Blend Reserve Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | 1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Rosso Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $140 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | 1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 213% premium | <1% |
| Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 214% premium | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cyrus 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | 215% premium | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Don Fiorino Reserva 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 215% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 216% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | ▲ 16.7% | — | 217% premium | 1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Sangiovese Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 218% premium | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 50 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | — | 226% premium | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Muga Rioja Reserva Seleccione Gift Set 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | 228% premium | <1% |
| Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 229% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Romanee Conti Grands Echezeaux Grand Cru 2022 red · 750 ml | $2,200 | 0.0% | — | 232% premium | 1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Bosche Vineyard Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $225 | — | — | 232% premium | 1% |
| Chateau L'Evangile Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avennia Sestina Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 242% premium | <1% |
| Coursey Graves Red Blend Bennet Mountain Estate 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 244% premium | <1% |
| Damien Laureau Les Genets Savennieres 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | 245% premium | 1% |
| Chappellet Cabernet Sauvignon Pritchard Hill Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 245% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $2,430 | ▲ 10.5% | — | 249% premium | 3% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 256% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $400 | 0.0% | — | 262% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $251 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| Gomez Cruzado Pancrudo Garnacha Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.53 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 269% premium | <1% |
| Sam Jasper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 271% premium | <1% |
| Il Carnasciale Il Caberlot Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 1500 ml | $84.93 $285 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 276% premium | <1% |
| Rene Bouvier Crais de Chene Fixin 2022 red · 750 ml | $69.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 278% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Grieve Family Winery Double Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Porseleinberg Syrah Swartland 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $26.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Rose Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $135 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 287% premium | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $85.03 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 287% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 $265 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 288% premium | <1% |
| Montes Alpha M Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
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