Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrimony Estate Caves des Lions Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Beringer Reserve Knights Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Tre Monti Vitalba Albana in Anfora Emilia Romagana 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Pommard 1er Cru Les Croix Noires 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Salvestrin Three D Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radikon Slatnik Chardonnay Friulano Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Antagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Condrieu 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | 1% |
| Prospice Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 9.4% | — | 104% premium | 4% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | 1% |
| Carpineto Vigneto Poggio Sant' Enrico Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2012 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Remy Pannier Jardins de Loire Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 105% premium | 1% |
| Ricasoli Colledila Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $220 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| La Spinona Vecchie Viti Barbaresco Ronchi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | 106% premium | 1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 107% premium | 1% |
| William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 107% premium | 3% |
| Clos Mogador Priorat 2019 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Auslese 2018 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $58.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Finca de la Emperatriz Reserva Tinto Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Sun Chase Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap Estate 2022 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo 904 Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $69.53 $91.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Loveblock Tee Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 1500 ml | $94.93 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $195 $325 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Tinto Pesquera Crianzado Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau La Maltroie Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Protagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rhonea Trias Beaume de Venise Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Il Bricco Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $87.59 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montgras Intriga Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 110% premium | 4% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Antica Terra Coriolis Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Stilema Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
9,651–9,700 of 9,968← PreviousNext →