Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.99——Fairly priced1%
Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$230 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.73 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.99 $23.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$41.73 $140 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Experience Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bindi Sergardi Achille Toscana Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.73 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$11.23 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Acre Zinfandel Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau du Grand Soussans Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$31.99 $34.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Ciacci Piccolomini Ateo Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$11.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Warre's Quinta da Cavadinha Vintage Porto 2005
dessert · Douro · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$53.99 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J McClelland Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Freelander District One Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$33.73 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$310 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$43.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Balboa Artist Series Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$20.99——Fairly priced<1%
M Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hewitt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$79.99——Fairly priced1%
Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$105 $175 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paolo Scavino Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ascheri Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Graham's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$38.99 0.0%▲ 18.2%Fairly priced3%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$276 $280 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Davey and Brown Vortex Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2017
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$168 $280 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Voerzio Martini Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ascheri Barolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Decoded Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Sonoma County 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc Magnum 2018
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$64.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$55.03 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.73 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0%▲ 20.0%Fairly priced8%
typically +12% if it rises
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 375 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Blason d'Issan Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Finca Los Principes Rioja Gran Reserva 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Malbec Mendoza 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$16.23 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Couhins Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$47.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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