Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 $23.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.73 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Experience Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bindi Sergardi Achille Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Acre Zinfandel Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Grand Soussans Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Ateo Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Quinta da Cavadinha Vintage Porto 2005 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J McClelland Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Freelander District One Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $33.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $310 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balboa Artist Series Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| M Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hewitt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paolo Scavino Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2021 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $276 $280 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Davey and Brown Vortex Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2017 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voerzio Martini Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoded Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 375 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Los Principes Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Malbec Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Couhins Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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