Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Cabernet Sauvignon Valle Central 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Ohla White Catalunya Alcohol Removed white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Flycatcher by Frog's Leap Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.0% | 44% premium | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Moutard Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | ▲ 21.6% | ▲ 40.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ruffino Aziano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Laroque Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pure Est Orange Macabeo Valencia 2022 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea Greece Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Decoy Limited Red Wine Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Homola Paloznak Balaton Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Bisci Vermentino di Matelica 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Garaudet Cuvee Paul Monthelie Rouge 2017 red · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Barton and Guestier Tourmaline Rose Cotes de Provence rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 45% premium | 3% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Franc Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Floridene Graves Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Bosca DOC Malbec De Sangre Lujan 2020 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2015 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Couly Dutheil Baronnie Madeleine Chinon Rouge 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maggio Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Nero d'Avola 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | — | 45% premium | 1% |
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml | $1,600 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Greppicaia I Greppi Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 45% premium | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Guarachi Meadowrock Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Reserve 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Arthur Barolet Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanafredda Serralunga d'Alba Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.79 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 26.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vincent Girardin Meursault Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +6% if it rises |
| Shafer Vineyards Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Los Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | ▲ 12.5% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Mt Beautiful Pinot Noir North Canterbury 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| La Spinetta Ca di Pian Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | 46% premium | 2% |
| Pink Flamingo Catalina Estrada Gris de Gris Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Le Puy Duc des Nauves Expression Originale du Terroir Vin de France Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
8,951–9,000 of 9,968← PreviousNext →