Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie 2022 red · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Castiglione Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Dolcetto d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Bruno Giacosa Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $210 | 0.0% | — | 159% premium | <1% |
| Charles Joguet Cuvee Terroir Chinon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Pinot Noir Laurene Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 98% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.63 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Madame Noly Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | — | 140% premium | <1% |
| Gavalas Vinsanto Santorini 2013 red · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery Old Scratch Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Grenache Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvaterra Amarone della Valpolicella 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2020 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro and Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2012 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $66.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $155 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carruades de Lafite Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $370 | 0.0% | — | 395% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Cabernet Sauvignon Pritchard Hill Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 245% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $156 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | 78% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $151 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet St Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour Pibran Pauillac 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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