Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Bodyguard Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Alain Gras Saint Romain Rouge 2015
red · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durieu Chateauneuf du Pape 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—38% below<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Pinot Noir Vieilles Vignes 2022
red · 750 ml
$34.19 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$300 0.0%—30% premium<1%
Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—21% below<1%
Il Carnasciale Carnasciale Toscana Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2019
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2019
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$112 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Venge Vineyards Scouts Honor Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Andersen Vally 2022
red · 750 ml
$33.03 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% premium<1%
Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $57.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Lagune Haut Medoc 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—121% premium<1%
Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$159 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.43 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Colgin IX Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$800 0.0%—811% premium<1%
Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$41.23 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2019
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Latour Giraud Cuvee Charles Maxime Meursault 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Santa Duc Aux Lieux Dits Gigondas 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ellena Giuseppe Barolo Ascheri 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Giacomo Fenocchio Barolo Bussia 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jean Foillard Morgon Cote du Py 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marques De Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2019
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Abstract Red 2020
red · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—45% below<1%
Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—24% below<1%
Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$850 0.0%—450% premium<1%
Pierre Marie Chermette Fleurie Poncie 2022
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$19.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% premium<1%
Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2022
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$17.23 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
St Supery Elu Red Napa Valley 2015
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
801–850 of 2,413← PreviousNext →