Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speri Vigneti Monte Sant'Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Sori Gepin Barolo Bergera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $275 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $65.99 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $90.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Force Majeure Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Bollinger Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $450 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml | $1,600 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Guarachi Meadowrock Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Meursault Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | ▲ 12.5% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $105 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Pine Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 $570 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $90.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Belles Soeurs Pinot Noir Ribon Ridge Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $31.93 $116 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Ten Degrees Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2003 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | ▲ 11.1% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Benchland Select Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $109 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laurent Perrier Champagne Brut Rose Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $99.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 48% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $68.53 $91.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Rose in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $450 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Catena Zapata Adrianna Vineyard White Bones Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $108 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2011 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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