Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 107% premium | 1% |
| William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 107% premium | 3% |
| Clos Mogador Priorat 2019 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Finca de la Emperatriz Reserva Tinto Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Sun Chase Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap Estate 2022 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo 904 Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $69.53 $91.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 1500 ml | $94.93 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $195 $325 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Tinto Pesquera Crianzado Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau La Maltroie Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Protagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rhonea Trias Beaume de Venise Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Il Bricco Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $87.59 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montgras Intriga Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 110% premium | 4% |
| Antica Terra Coriolis Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Stilema Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Rosso Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 5000 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Diamond Selection 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Ducale Oro Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.73 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 112% premium | 1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Khvanchkara Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | 114% premium | 3% |
| Bodegas Vega Sicilia Valbuena Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $80.73 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Barolo Ravera 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
| Fontanafredda Derthona Colli Tortonesi Timorasso 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
| Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $31.73 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 116% premium | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard 2017 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 116% premium | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder Malbec Patagonia 2017 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 117% premium | <1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 119% premium | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Poggio al Vento Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 119% premium | <1% |
| Ciacci Picolomini d'Aragona Pianrosso Santa Caterina Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Cabernet Sauvignon XXV Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 120% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $190 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lobo Wulff Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,451–5,500 of 5,705← PreviousNext →