Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $140 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Porseleinberg Syrah Swartland 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $26.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $610 $1,010 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1846% premium | <1% |
| Pym Rae Tesseron Estate Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 308% premium | <1% |
| San Felice Campogiovanni Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenute Capaldo Goleto Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 383% premium | <1% |
| Vega Sicilia Alion 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $86.99 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $56.33 $93.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $464 $756 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Rhythm Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2007 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Il Bricco Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $87.59 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Champagne Millesime 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vega Sicilia Valbuena Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $80.73 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicolas Red Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% below | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Cerberon Meursault Les Cras 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Poggione Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $73.79 $123 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford DeCarle Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Solaia 2020 red · 750 ml | $300 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 188% premium | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello 2020 red · 750 ml | $106 $176 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.93 $95.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Benchland Select Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $109 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $644 $1,044 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 583% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 635% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre St Julien 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $114 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Romanee Conti Romanee Saint Vivant Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $2,625 $3,500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 837% premium | <1% |
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