Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut Rose 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Rubicon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Extra Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pol Roger Rose Champagne 2018 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Roederer Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.53 $83.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $213 $710 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Poggione Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Clos de la Barre Monopole Volnay 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | ▲ 47.4% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $128 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 18.5% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.73 $143 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hewitt Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vineyard 29 Aida Estate Zinfandel St Helena Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.53 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $91.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Cos d'Estournel Saint Estephe 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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