Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clos de Napa Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Grape District Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Black Stallion Los Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| World's Edge Chardonnay South Eastern Australia white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.5% | 60% below | 4% |
| Simonet Vin Mousseux Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.18 $10.36 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 375 ml | $2.03 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Sanford Chardonnay Sta Rita Hills Estate Grown 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Ashbourne Sauvignon Blanc Chardonnay Walker Bay 2019 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Albarino Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preserving Nature Sauvignon Blanc Ucuquer Vineyard 2023 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Premiere Soleil Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Buttery Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | 52% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Vintage Northwest Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Mazza Chautauqua Cellars Riesling Nutt Road Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Kunde Magnolia Lane Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.49 | — | — | 51% below | 1% |
| Epiphany Grenache Blanc Rodney's Vineyard Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 51% below | 1% |
| Koha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 50% below | 1% |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pacific Crest Wine Co Pinot Gris Wahluke Slope 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Spinelli Pinot Grigio Terre di Chieti 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Les Beaux Jours Couchant Cotes du Rhone Villages Laudun Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Chardonnay Mitsuko's Vineyard Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 47% below | <1% |
| Dunham Cellars Riesling Columbia Valley Lewis Vineyard 2017 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 47% below | <1% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 47% below | 3% |
| Smith and Elliott Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Merf Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.53 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Katherine's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Souverain Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 45% below | 2% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Fiano d'Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Iron Horse Vineyards Two Clones Chardonnay Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Eshcol Ranch Chardonnay Trefethen Vineyards Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Canoe Ridge Estate Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Henri Ehrhart Reserve Particuliere Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Nagelsforst Estate Riesling Baden Dry 2016 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 25.0% | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau de la Roche Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Thanisch Estate Label Riesling Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Bodega Cuatro Rayas Verdejo Rueda 2019 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42% below | <1% |
| Jean Marie Berthier Sauvignon Blanc Val de Loire 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Bianco white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42% below | 1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Dry Gewurztraminer Estate Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $1.73 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2022 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Jean Francois Roy Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
1–50 of 2,221Next →