Nagelsforst Estate Riesling Baden Dry 2016
white · 750 ml · 2016 vintage · tracked since Q3 2019
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$6.03 $11.99 Clearance
29 quarters on record · 1 list-price change · on sale in 2
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: ▼ 25.0%
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +12% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -7%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $11.99 ($11.99–$11.99) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $11.99 ($11.99–$11.99) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $11.99 ($11.99–$11.99) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $11.99 ($11.99–$11.99) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $11.99 | $6.03 | ||
| Q2 2026 | $11.99 | $6.03 | ||
| Q1 2026 | $11.99 | $6.03 | ||
| Q4 2025 | $11.99 | $6.03 | ||
| Q3 2025 | $11.99 | $6.03 | ||
| Q2 2025 | $11.99 | $8.93 | ||
| Q1 2025 | $11.99 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $11.99 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $11.99 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $11.99 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $11.99 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $11.99 | |||
| Q3 2023 | $11.99 | |||
| Q2 2023 | $11.99 | $10.99 | ||
| Q1 2023 | $11.99 | |||
| Q4 2022 | $15.99 | |||
| Q3 2022 | $15.99 | |||
| Q2 2022 | $15.99 | |||
| Q1 2022 | $15.99 | |||
| Q4 2021 | $15.99 | |||
| Q3 2021 | $15.99 | |||
| Q2 2021 | $15.99 | |||
| Q1 2021 | $15.99 | |||
| Q4 2020 | $15.99 | |||
| Q3 2020 | $15.99 | |||
| Q2 2020 | $15.99 | |||
| Q1 2020 | $15.99 | |||
| Q4 2019 | $15.99 | |||
| Q3 2019 | $15.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $11.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$21.38
Comparable wines cost $13.28–$50.25 (80% range). At $11.99 it is priced 44% below them.
Typical drinking window
2016–2019
Past its typical window · rule of thumb, typical for everyday white wine from this category
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.
Promotion
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).