Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Silene Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% below | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Chateau Tauzinat L'Hermitage Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.49 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Paola Sordo Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | 1% |
| Inglenook 1882 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% below | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Spring Valley Vineyard Frederick Red Wine Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 55% below | 1% |
| Arterberry Maresh Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55% below | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | 1% |
| Chateau Yon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 54% below | 1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% below | 2% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Vite Colte Paesi Tuoi Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | 51% below | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% below | <1% |
| Chateau Siran Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% below | 1% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.43 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Cielo Centanni Amarone della Valpolicella 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.6% | 48% below | 5% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.43 $48.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% below | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | 47% below | 2% |
| Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 2% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Cuvee Simone Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Emerson Brown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 1% |
| Orin Swift Sign of the Times Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 41% below | 1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Scrimaglio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
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