Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $90.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Force Majeure Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rabble Tempranillo Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sella and Mosca Cannonau di Sardegna Riserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 43% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi Erinn Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Tour Carnet Haut Medoc Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chignard Les Moriers Fleurie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vendange Le Coz Mondeuse Vin de Savoie 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opici Red Blend Twist Bottle red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 44% premium | 1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 44% premium | 3% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Pinot Noir Carneros red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.43 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 54.1% | 44% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $450 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Kimsey Syrah Ballard Canyon 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Pulenta Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza Agrelo 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cesari Mara Ripasso Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Fleurie Poncie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $19.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Frey Organic Pinot Noir Mendocino California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Irvine and Roberts Vineyards Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Cabernet Sauvignon Valle Central 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Flycatcher by Frog's Leap Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruffino Aziano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Laroque Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pure Est Orange Macabeo Valencia 2022 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea Greece Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Decoy Limited Red Wine Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Paul Garaudet Cuvee Paul Monthelie Rouge 2017 red · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Franc Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Bosca DOC Malbec De Sangre Lujan 2020 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2015 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Couly Dutheil Baronnie Madeleine Chinon Rouge 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maggio Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Nero d'Avola 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | — | 45% premium | 1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml | $1,600 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Greppicaia I Greppi Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Meadowrock Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanafredda Serralunga d'Alba Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.79 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 26.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vincent Girardin Meursault Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | ▲ 12.5% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Mt Beautiful Pinot Noir North Canterbury 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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