Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eyrie Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monopole Clasico Reserva Rioja Alta 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Walker Bay 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Testarossa Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Cuvee Bordeaux Style Blend Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chofflet Heritage Givry 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Franc Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Rupert and Rothschild Vignerons Classique Red Blend Western Cape 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walter Hansel South Slope Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini d'Aragona Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Ribiera Tintorela Vin de France Rouge Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Butchers Daughter Cotes du Rhone Reserve 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Zorrito Natural Orange Wine Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.23 $86.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adelsheim Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antucura Calcura Vista Flores Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Barbera d'Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juwel Silvaner trocken Rheinhessen 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GoGi 29 Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2016 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | 37% premium | 2% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Breca Garnacha Calatayud 2017 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Athena Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kindzmaurali Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company The Prisoner Red California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bell'Agio Chianti red · Tuscany · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 14.5% | ▲ 26.7% | 37% premium | 1% |
| Mark West Black Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% premium | 3% |
| Wellsley Farms Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Castello di Volpaia Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Wonders Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 33% typically +5% if it rises |
| Donum Pinot Noir Carneros Sonoma County 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| El Coto Rioja Crianza red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▼ 6.8% | ▼ 2.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| San Filippo Lo Scorno Rosso di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Togonidze Mtsvane Rkatsiteli Georgia Dry Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.09 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Metz Road Pinot Noir Riverview Vineyard Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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