Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Tre Terre Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jordan Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liquid Farm Chardonnay White Hill Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Philippe Le Hardi Chardonnay Bourgogne Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $76.43 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Turk Veltliner 333 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 538% premium | <1% |
| WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Les Arums de Lagrange Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013 white · 375 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Salvestrin Sauvignon Blanc St Helena Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018 white · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Rocquencourt Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Hommage Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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