Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borgogno Freisa Langhe 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Font de Courtedune Cotes du Rhone Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.53 $21.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Koha Pinot Noir Marlborough 2022 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| Terra Vega Cabernet Sauvignon Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Skellenger Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $87.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Henry Lagarde Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hentley Farm Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Decadent Red Black Forest red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Armillary Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $98.99 $165 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $510 $850 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Musar Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gen 5 Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Re di More Aglianico 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vega Sicilia Alion 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $86.99 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Schisteaux Seguret Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits The Citizen Red Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $100 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Highflyer Centerline Red Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Manos Negras Red Soil Pinot Noir El Cepillo Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| San Polo Rubio Rosso Toscana 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa a Sesta Il Palei Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barista Pinotage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 21.8% | ▲ 26.7% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Chateau de La Dauphine Fronsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| District 7 Pinot Noir Monterey 2020 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firesteed Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.61 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Luberri Biga Rioja Crianza 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Montcy Cabriole Cheverny Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Bruyeres Gamay Moulin a Vent Cru Beaujolais 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Morandina Amarone della Valpolicella 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reggio Cantina Campo Melograno Aglianico del Vulture Superiore Riserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021 red · 750 ml | $46.43 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello Di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Alta Vista Atemporal Red Blend Mendoza Albaneve 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diamond Creek Volcanic Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Domaines Chateau des Capitan Julienas 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| La Ruchette Doree Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | 1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Perusini Refosco Peduncolo Rosso Colli Orientali del Friuli 2018 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Poggio ai Ginepri Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Federalist Liberty Bell Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kaiken Estate Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Macska Portugieser Hungary 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridge Vineyards Geyserville Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $50.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Coelho Vineyard Van Duzer Corridor 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
4,401–4,450 of 5,705← PreviousNext →